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Pre-Listing Scanner

Properties likely to list — before the “For Sale” sign goes up.

Cox Proportional Hazards Model (Cox 1972) blending probate filings, utility disconnects, lis pendens, cosmetic permits, mortgage payoffs, tax-assessment jumps, and tenure into a per-property hazard ratio. Each property gets a 0-100 composite + a predicted listing-window bucket (0-30d / 30-90d / 90-180d / 180-365d). Knock the door, send the postcard, or call the listing agent — before the competitor does.

snapshot May 2, 2026 · 17 days ago
Properties scored
260
avg 31.1 · median 32.6
0-30d
0
call today
30-90d
2
knock the door
90-180d
20
warm-touch postcard
180-365d
216
long-arc nurture
Probate ↑ · Utility ↑
0 · 0
upload more for better signal
Filtered to window:180-365dClear
Top drivers · what's firing in Charleston Tri-County
ranked by # of properties where each signal is the dominant predictor
Peak-tenure window
172
avg score 33.0
Subdivision FOMO
74
avg score 25.5
Active lis pendens
7
avg score 61.2
Tax-assessment jump
1
avg score 24.5
Pre-Listing leaderboard · 180-365d (216)
Cox-style composite — higher hazard ratio = more likely to list soon · saved ★ on top, contacted ✓ next, dismissed ✕ hidden
RankAddressContactsWindowTop driverTenureLast saleHRPLActions
23
Goose Creek · 29480 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.9y$228k1.9739
24
North Charleston · 29443 · North Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.4y$279k1.9639
25
Moncks Corner · 29424 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.6y$343k1.9338
26
Sullivan's Island · 29415 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.4y$2.42M1.9238
27
Kiawah Island · 29446 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.2y$2.02M1.8737
28
Kiawah Island · 29433 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.2y$1.17M1.8737
29
North Charleston · 29444 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.3y$303k1.8737
30
North Charleston · 29410 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.3y$370k1.8737
31
Johns Island · 29474 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.3y$741k1.8737
32
Downtown Charleston · 29490 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.4y$673k1.8637
33
Folly Beach · 29415 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.5y$819k1.8637
34
Isle of Palms · 29432 · Isle of Palms
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.6y$1.63M1.8637
35
James Island · 29410 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.6y$853k1.8637
36
Johns Island · 29425 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.6y$613k1.8637
37
West Ashley · 29478 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.6y$513k1.8637
38
Downtown Charleston · 29480 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.4y$571k1.8637
39
Downtown Charleston · 29466 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.3y$534k1.8536
40
Moncks Corner · 29490 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.9y$207k1.8536
41
Johns Island · 29486 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.1y$720k1.8536
42
West Ashley · 29444 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.1y$297k1.8536
43
Kiawah Island · 29414 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.0y$2.19M1.8536
44
West Ashley · 29480 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.1y$590k1.8536
45
Downtown Charleston · 29475 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.0y$1.32M1.8536
46
Isle of Palms · 29440 · Isle of Palms
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.0y$1.35M1.8536
47
Folly Beach · 29476 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.2y$822k1.8436
48
Moncks Corner · 29459 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.9y$422k1.8436
49
James Island · 29484 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.9y$821k1.8436
50
Moncks Corner · 29443 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.2y$251k1.8436
51
Moncks Corner · 29478 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.9y$394k1.8436
52
Downtown Charleston · 29432 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.3y$665k1.8436
53
Downtown Charleston · 29455 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.3y$1.25M1.8436
54
North Charleston · 29472 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.7y$188k1.8436
55
Downtown Charleston · 29460 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.7y$720k1.8436
56
James Island · 29417 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.5y$828k1.8436
57
James Island · 29489 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.6y$773k1.8336
58
Johns Island · 29466 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.6y$775k1.8336
59
Johns Island · 29487 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.5y$390k1.8336
60
Folly Beach · 29411 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.4y$724k1.8336
61
Folly Beach · 29491 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.4y$995k1.8336
62
North Charleston · 29482 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.4y$442k1.8336
63
Johns Island · 29412 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.8y$467k1.8336
64
North Charleston · 29416 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.3y$380k1.8336
65
Moncks Corner · 29436 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.2y$398k1.8336
66
Folly Beach · 29421 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.1y$1.01M1.8236
67
West Ashley · 29421 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.1y$419k1.8236
68
Kiawah Island · 29422 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.9y$2.14M1.8236
69
Sullivan's Island · 29474 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.9y$2.75M1.8236
70
James Island · 29446 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.8y$561k1.8236
71
Moncks Corner · 29425 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.7y$285k1.8136
72
Downtown Charleston · 29421 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.5y$1.34M1.8135
73
West Ashley · 29419 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.1y$417k1.8035
74
Hanahan · 29467 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.0y$438k1.8035
75
Folly Beach · 29468 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.1y$575k1.8035
76
Hanahan · 29474 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.3y$365k1.8035
77
North Charleston · 29492 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.9y$315k1.8035
78
Folly Beach · 29475 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.8y$966k1.7935
79
West Ashley · 29466 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.8y$399k1.7935
80
Sullivan's Island · 29430 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.7y$2.47M1.7935
81
James Island · 29484 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.5y$855k1.7935
82
Sullivan's Island · 29427 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.5y$2.28M1.7935
83
Hanahan · 29447 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.7y$246k1.7935
84
Moncks Corner · 29414 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.4y$185k1.7835
85
West Ashley · 29468 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.4y$447k1.7835
86
West Ashley · 29436 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.3y$311k1.7835
87
North Charleston · 29426 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.3y$315k1.7835
88
North Charleston · 29488 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.1y$213k1.7835
89
Moncks Corner · 29482 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.0y$276k1.7735
90
James Island · 29438 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.0y$743k1.7735
91
Folly Beach · 29492 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.0y$1.03M1.7735
92
Kiawah Island · 29481 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.9y$1.99M1.7735
93
Downtown Charleston · 29415 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.9y$754k1.7734
94
West Ashley · 29485 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.8y$474k1.7734
95
Moncks Corner · 29445 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.8y$349k1.7734
96
Sullivan's Island · 29446 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.6y$1.19M1.7634
97
West Ashley · 29475 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.4y$324k1.7634
98
Isle of Palms · 29436 · Isle of Palms
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.2y$1.84M1.7534
99
Kiawah Island · 29486 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.2y$1.94M1.7534
100
James Island · 29436 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.1y$427k1.7534
101
Folly Beach · 29463 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.1y$928k1.7534
102
Johns Island · 29414 · Johns Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.1y$481k1.7534
103
Hanahan · 29476 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.4y$562k1.7534
104
Isle of Palms · 29456 · Isle of Palms
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.0y$906k1.7534
105
Hanahan · 29456 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.8y$431k1.7534
106
Folly Beach · 29433 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.9y$1.21M1.7534
107
Moncks Corner · 29480 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.9y$384k1.7534
108
Downtown Charleston · 29458 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.8y$1.05M1.7434
109
North Charleston · 29453 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.8y$318k1.7434
110
Folly Beach · 29427 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.6y$955k1.7434
111
Moncks Corner · 29441 · Moncks Corner
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.4y$373k1.7334
112
North Charleston · 29479 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.3y$234k1.7334
113
James Island · 29453 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.2y$345k1.7334
114
West Ashley · 29433 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.2y$372k1.7334
115
North Charleston · 29439 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.1y$313k1.7333
116
Goose Creek · 29422 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.1y$352k1.7333
117
James Island · 29487 · James Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.0y$684k1.7333
118
Goose Creek · 29462 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.4y$360k1.7333
119
West Ashley · 29466 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.9y$639k1.7233
120
North Charleston · 29483 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.8y$424k1.7233
121
Hanahan · 29475 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.5y$319k1.7233
122
West Ashley · 29484 · West Ashley
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.8y$320k1.7233
123
Hanahan · 29491 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.9y$453k1.7133
124
North Charleston · 29467 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.6y$328k1.7133
125
Kiawah Island · 29480 · Kiawah Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.6y$1.85M1.7133
126
Isle of Palms · 29429 · Isle of Palms
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.5y$1.55M1.7133
127
Sullivan's Island · 29425 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.5y$1.31M1.7133
128
Hanahan · 29416 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.9y$387k1.7033
129
North Charleston · 29466 · North Charleston
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.3y$333k1.7033
130
Folly Beach · 29466 · Folly Beach
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.2y$715k1.7033
131
West Ashley · 29471 · West Ashley
180-365dSubdivision FOMO6.0y$443k1.6932
132
James Island · 29421 · James Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.8y$471k1.6932
133
Hanahan · 29491 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.1y$393k1.6932
134
Daniel Island · 29445 · Daniel Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.6y$1.49M1.6832
135
West Ashley · 29420 · West Ashley
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.7y$370k1.6832
136
Folly Beach · 29450 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.6y$1.14M1.6832
137
Hanahan · 29421 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.5y$261k1.6732
138
Sullivan's Island · 29459 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.3y$2.40M1.6732
139
Moncks Corner · 29435 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.3y$210k1.6732
140
Ridgeville · 29444 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.7y$252k1.6632
141
Isle of Palms · 29475 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.1y$916k1.6632
142
James Island · 29450 · James Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO5.1y$727k1.6632
143
Hanahan · 29453 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.5y$338k1.6632
144
Folly Beach · 29419 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.9y$1.21M1.6532
145
Kiawah Island · 29453 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.7y$2.06M1.6531
146
Isle of Palms · 29422 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.7y$1.69M1.6531
147
Kiawah Island · 29421 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.7y$1.94M1.6531
148
Johns Island · 29472 · Johns Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.5y$407k1.6431
149
Folly Beach · 29447 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.4y$742k1.6431
150
Ridgeville · 29480 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.2y$226k1.6431
151
Isle of Palms · 29411 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.3y$1.65M1.6331
152
Isle of Palms · 29489 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.3y$1.20M1.6331
153
Kiawah Island · 29491 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.3y$1.59M1.6331
154
Sullivan's Island · 29474 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.0y$1.37M1.6231
155
Downtown Charleston · 29476 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO4.0y$971k1.6231
156
Downtown Charleston · 29453 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.9y$620k1.6231
157
Moncks Corner · 29434 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.8y$450k1.6231
158
Hanahan · 29475 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.7y$365k1.6231
159
Hanahan · 29484 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.6y$371k1.6130
160
Hanahan · 29469 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.6y$435k1.6130
161
Hanahan · 29433 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.5y$472k1.6130
162
Johns Island · 29448 · Johns Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.5y$535k1.6130
163
Folly Beach · 29430 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.4y$542k1.6130
164
James Island · 29417 · James Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.4y$586k1.6030
165
Daniel Island · 29429 · Daniel Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.6y$1.11M1.6030
166
Sullivan's Island · 29438 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.3y$1.38M1.6030
167
Downtown Charleston · 29420 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO3.2y$765k1.6030
168
Hanahan · 29436 · Hanahan
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.3y$365k1.5729
169
Mt Pleasant · 29456 · Mt Pleasant
180-365dPeak-tenure window9.0y$1.18M1.5729
170
Goose Creek · 29461 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.1y$407k1.5629
171
Goose Creek · 29413 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.0y$277k1.5629
172
Sullivan's Island · 29483 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.5y$2.24M1.5629
173
Goose Creek · 29447 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window4.6y$382k1.5529
174
Goose Creek · 29421 · Goose Creek
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.3y$327k1.5428
175
Daniel Island · 29433 · Daniel Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window5.5y$1.47M1.5128
176
Goose Creek · 29414 · Goose Creek
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.7y$476k1.4726
177
Daniel Island · 29439 · Daniel Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window4.0y$1.32M1.4425
178
Goose Creek · 29473 · Goose Creek
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.9y$241k1.4425
179
Summerville · 29464 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.7y$314k1.4325
180
Ridgeville · 29473 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.7y$401k1.4325
181
Summerville · 29436 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.5y$321k1.4325
182
Ridgeville · 29443 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window13.6y$222k1.4325
183
Summerville · 29439 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.3y$557k1.4325
184
Daniel Island · 29415 · Daniel Island
180-365dPeak-tenure window3.6y$1.17M1.4225
185
Summerville · 29442 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window12.1y$553k1.4225
186
Mt Pleasant · 29469 · Mt Pleasant
180-365dPeak-tenure window3.5y$717k1.4225
187
Ridgeville · 29412 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.9y$198k1.4225
188
Mt Pleasant · 29441 · Mt Pleasant
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.8y$943k1.4225
189
Summerville · 29485 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window14.6y$547k1.4125
190
Daniel Island · 29461 · Daniel Island
180-365dTax-assessment jump1.3y$716k1.4124
191
Summerville · 29448 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window11.0y$391k1.4024
192
Ridgeville · 29413 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.7y$303k1.4024
193
Summerville · 29492 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.5y$561k1.3924
194
Summerville · 29415 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window10.1y$428k1.3824
195
Ridgeville · 29445 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.9y$331k1.3623
196
Summerville · 29492 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.7y$373k1.3623
197
Ridgeville · 29473 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.7y$337k1.3623
198
Summerville · 29452 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window8.2y$236k1.3523
199
Ridgeville · 29410 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.7y$414k1.3422
200
Mt Pleasant · 29412 · Mt Pleasant
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.4y$1.04M1.3322
201
Summerville · 29461 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.3y$510k1.3322
202
Summerville · 29417 · Summerville
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.2y$219k1.3322
203
Ridgeville · 29425 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.1y$363k1.3322
204
Ridgeville · 29457 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window7.0y$278k1.3322
205
Ridgeville · 29455 · Ridgeville
180-365dPeak-tenure window6.2y$390k1.3121
206
Downtown Charleston · 29416 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.1y$1.15M1.3021
207
Downtown Charleston · 29447 · Downtown Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.0y$682k1.3021
208
Folly Beach · 29479 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.9y$1.09M1.3021
209
Folly Beach · 29446 · Folly Beach
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.9y$658k1.3021
210
Isle of Palms · 29424 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.6y$1.16M1.3021
211
Isle of Palms · 29472 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.2y$1.96M1.3021
212
Isle of Palms · 29458 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.2y$1.70M1.3021
213
Isle of Palms · 29460 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.3y$1.48M1.3021
214
Isle of Palms · 29447 · Isle of Palms
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.7y$1.41M1.3021
215
James Island · 29440 · James Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.3y$344k1.3021
216
Johns Island · 29462 · Johns Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.5y$562k1.3021
217
Johns Island · 29469 · Johns Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.9y$615k1.3021
218
Kiawah Island · 29448 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.1y$964k1.3021
219
Kiawah Island · 29477 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.1y$2.18M1.3021
220
Kiawah Island · 29416 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.2y$1.91M1.3021
221
Kiawah Island · 29440 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.1y$1.53M1.3021
222
Kiawah Island · 29441 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.8y$1.10M1.3021
223
Kiawah Island · 29418 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.4y$2.31M1.3021
224
Kiawah Island · 29492 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.5y$1.43M1.3021
225
Kiawah Island · 29413 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.6y$2.41M1.3021
226
Kiawah Island · 29454 · Kiawah Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.0y$2.00M1.3021
227
Moncks Corner · 29453 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.6y$430k1.3021
228
Moncks Corner · 29427 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.9y$376k1.3021
229
Moncks Corner · 29413 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.5y$304k1.3021
230
Moncks Corner · 29441 · Moncks Corner
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.1y$252k1.3021
231
North Charleston · 29416 · North Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.8y$304k1.3021
232
North Charleston · 29484 · North Charleston
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.6y$295k1.3021
233
Sullivan's Island · 29437 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.4y$1.74M1.3021
234
Sullivan's Island · 29465 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.0y$1.50M1.3021
235
Sullivan's Island · 29433 · Sullivan's Island
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.6y$1.64M1.3021
236
West Ashley · 29481 · West Ashley
180-365dSubdivision FOMO2.1y$306k1.3021
237
West Ashley · 29426 · West Ashley
180-365dSubdivision FOMO0.5y$296k1.3021
238
West Ashley · 29486 · West Ashley
180-365dSubdivision FOMO1.9y$478k1.3021
Probate filings · death notices & estate openings
Upload Charleston Probate Court records — strongest pre-listing signal we score
required: county · case_number · filing_date · filing_type
📂
Drop a probate-records CSV here, or click to pick
filing_type: death_notice · estate_opened · letters_testamentary · inventory_filed · final_accounting · estate_closed
Utility events · disconnects & lien filings
Upload SC utility shutoff / lien records — distress signal in the pre-listing model
required: utility · county · event_date · event_type
📂
Drop a utility-events CSV here, or click to pick
event_type: disconnect · shutoff_notice · lien_filed · reconnection_blocked · service_terminated · utility: dominion_energy · santee_cooper · charleston_water · etc.
Algorithm · Cox Proportional Hazards Model

We use the canonical industry algorithm for time-to-event prediction: Cox, D.R. (1972), “Regression Models and Life-Tables”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 34(2), 187-220. The hazard h(t) — the instantaneous probability of listing at time t given the property has not yet listed — is modeled as a baseline rate multiplied by the exponential of a linear combination of covariates:

h(t | x) = h₀(t) · exp(β₁·x₁ + β₂·x₂ + ... + βₖ·xₖ)
HR = exp(Σ βᵢ·xᵢ)  ← “hazard ratio”

Each signal we collect contributes a multiplicative hazard ratio (HR > 1 = above baseline). Composite HR is the product of active signals; it's mapped to a 0-100 score for UI convenience and bucketed into a predicted-listing window via discrete-time survival approximation (Allison 1982).

Hazard ratios · cited
  • probate · HR 3.5 — NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers (annual). Estate sales cluster within 12-18mo of probate filing.
  • distress · HR 2.8 — Foote-Gerardi-Willen 2008 (FRB Boston): foreclosure-pre-sale listing rate.
  • utility_disconnect · HR 2.4 — Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances mobility correlate.
  • cosmetic_permit · HR 2.0 — Sirmans-Macpherson 2006 listing-prep / staging research.
  • insurance_pressure · HR 1.8 — Post-2022 SC carrier-pause and non-renewal forced-sale data.
  • payoff_signal · HR 1.7 — clear-title-pre-sale RMC pattern (broker observation, post-2024).
  • tenure (7-15yr peak) · HR 1.5 — JCHS Harvard tenure-conditional hazard estimates.
  • assessment_jump · HR 1.4 — NAR seller-survey "equity-tap" motivation.
  • title_event · HR 1.4 — probate-adjacent recording flurry (broker observation).
  • comparable_sales · HR 1.3 — Genesove-Mayer 2001 prospect-theory FOMO neighborhood effect.
  • hood_velocity · HR 1.2 — zip-level listing density (broker calibration).

Baseline 90-day hazard h₀ = 1.5%, derived from US Census ACS tenure distributions + NAR annual listing rate. Recipe + weights: apps/worker/processing/pre_listing.py. Coefficients will be refit via supervised learning once we have ≥6mo of MLS-listing labels.

ECOA-clean: no demographic data, no school-district scores, no credit-score inputs. Property events only — same hygiene as the rest of Pulse.

How to useThe 0-30d and 30-90d buckets are your hot list — call today. The 90-180d bucket gets a warm-touch postcard. Click any address to open Vital Signs and see the per-property sub-score breakdown + AI narrative. Upload probate + utility data regularly — those two signals dominate the model when fed (HR 3.5 + HR 2.4). When a probate filing matches a property that's also showing distress + a cosmetic permit, the composite stacks multiplicatively — that's a 70+ score and a near-certain listing inside 90 days.